The Best LEGO Sets to Invest in that Retire in July 2026 (v6.0 FINAL EDITION)
This is my final list for every LEGO set retiring in July 2026.
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IMPORTANT: A SPREADSHEET VERSION OF THE HIT LIST IS LINKED AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS POST
The hit list you are about to see below is the list of LEGO sets my set picking system likes most for investing that are set retire in JULY 2026.
Normally we don’t split the year up like this, but LEGO has decided to shift 100+ sets to a July retirement date.
The following list is created by:
Looking at a giant list of sets expected to retire
Inputting Amazon sales rank data (i.e. demand) into my custom set picking system and letting it spit out which sets it thinks will perform best
Extrapolating “# of sets sold in the past month” for sets that don’t have sales rank data
Picking demand thresholds for each theme to adhere to based on prior performance and estimated supply data
Does this system catch ALL of the best sets every year? No.
However, it has outperformed the average for the last three years by a large margin as documented in my monthly market update series.
This update is important not only because it is the final version of this hit list, but I have also made changes to my set picking system.
I have spent the last two weeks testing new inputs and looking for new signals that point to a LEGO set potentially performing above average as an investment.
Turns out I found some.
I believe we are moving to a world where demand is less important (but still important) and cost basis is more important (it was still important).
This means having an eye on MORE sets, but being picky with which sets I actually purchase.
I used to use my hit list as a list of sets that I was going to own no matter what.
It will now be used as a list of sets to watch and then buy if the price is right and only if the price is right.
I will detail the data that led me to make this decision in a post later this week.
Next month, I will publish the first iteration of a second hit list for sets that retire at the end of December.
The format below for listing hit list sets is as follows:
Theme
List of sets my system likes
Let’s dive in.
Architecture
Target position size/set: ~1% of portfolio
Demand threshold: 5 (down from 14)
Changes:
Added The Great Pyramid of Giza 21058 (threshold change)
We used to only chase sets from Architecture that were heavily in demand. We reducing that threshold heavily now, which has resulted in adding the Giza set.
The past several years have shown that lower demanded sets outperform the average if you buy at the right price.
What is the “right price” you ask?
Generally speaking, it is an all-time low price that we have never seen before or at least 20% OFF (more on this idea later in the week).
For the Statue of Liberty, that is at or below $80.
For the Giza set, that is below ~$100.
You will notice I’ve added a buy price target column into the spreadsheet.